Inflation predicted to remain high for many years

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New Zealanders are expected to face a tough year with inflation, housing and a tight labour market set to put the screws on the economy.

Economic predictions from ASB and the Institute of Economic Research indicates inflation has probably peaked and is likely to remain at high levels for a couple of years before dropping back to the middle of the Reserve Bank's target range of one to three per cent annual inflation.

House prices are also expected to continue falling through to the middle of next year.

NZIER principal economist Christina Leung says higher interest rates have reduced the ability of households to borrow, which is also weighing on housing demand and is a drag on retail spending.

"The latest retail sales data show a slowing in retail spending, and we expect this to continue as households hunker down to weather these latest headwinds of rising living costs and increased mortgage repayments," Leung says.

The labour market is expected to continue to fuel high wage expectations.

However, ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says the labour market is like a double-edged sword.

"On the one hand, we're seeing continued strong wage growth which will outpace inflation next year and lift people's purchasing power, but on the other hand, this is going to be a real challenge for employers when it comes to finding and retaining people.

"Employers will need to start thinking longer term about how they cope with those challenges because we don't see much relief anytime soon."

-RNZ.

3 comments

Whatever

Posted on 31-08-2022 22:03 | By Slim Shady

They couldn’t predict tomorrow’s weather. None of them. A year ago they were happily going along with our stupid Government and encouraging low interest rates and borrowing on a cosmic level. Apparently none of them could see rampant inflation would be the outcome. I could. Maybe they did but just thought they’d keep quiet because Banks will be creaming it in now.


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Posted on 01-09-2022 11:20 | By This Guy

There is no end game in capitalism except "make more profit" and corporations know they can raise prices and get away with by using the magic words "its inflation" so people will blame the government instead of them... oh and then later they get to boast about their record profits at the next shareholder's meeting and the CEO gets a massive raise (funny how the CEO getting a million dollar pay rise is never an issue, blame always falls on the workers for wanting to be paid fair)


Grin & bear it?

Posted on 01-09-2022 14:11 | By morepork

Inflation CAN be handled by proper management of the economy. Maybe a change of Government might help?


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