The days of trying to get every New Zealander to fill out a census form are over.
Minister of Statistics Dr Shane Reti announced today that Stats NZ will move to an admin-data-first census.
This means using data the Government has already collected when trying to assemble datasets that include every New Zealanders.
For example, instead of asking your income on a census form, Stats NZ could ask Inland Revenue how much you earn.
Reti also announced that from that start of 2027, Stats NZ will deliver monthly, rather than quarterly, inflation figures.
Following the 2023 census, Stats NZ launched a consultation on the future of the census and then submitted a proposal to Cabinet.
Reti’s announcement today represents the conclusion of that process.
Mary Craig, acting Stats NZ chief executive and government statistician said: “This is an exciting and necessary change.
“The traditional way of running a nationwide survey on Census Day can no longer be justified, due to rising costs, declining survey response rates, and disruption from events, like Cyclone Gabrielle in 2023.
“From 2030, key New Zealand census data and statistics will be produced every year, in a cost-effective and sustainable way.”
Surveys asking census style questions will still happen. In fact, they will take place annually and only sample a small fraction of the population.
“The new survey will be set up to be highly flexible, with opportunities to change content and topics much more frequently.”
During the consultation on the census last year, former Government Statistician Len Cook and the Public Health Communication Centre urged that any changes to the census be carefully considered and arguing that the scientific implications of any changes be transparent.
“There is no time over the past 50 years when the scope and quality of population statistics has been of such importance in public life in Aotearoa New Zealand as now,” said Cook.
“The regular population census has long been the window on places, communities and families that monitors such change. Statistics NZ now wish to change our key window on the population dynamics that drive population change in many parts of Aotearoa New Zealand.”
Dr Bill Kaye-Blake, Principal Economist, New Zealand Institute of Economic Research responded to the announcement saying: “The decision to rely on administrative data rather than a full Census is a blow to vulnerable communities and rural Māori communities.
“The announced change says, ‘we don’t want to know’ to struggling rural Māori communities.”
1 comment
Slipping through cracks
Posted on 19-06-2025 15:01 | By morepork
There are some major flaws in this idea. While it is good to be able to use existing data to build a picture of our society, there will be many people who simply are not part of that picture. Many of these will be people who need assistance and help most.
I'd feel much more comfortable about this if the concept of a complete physical census was retained and executed say, every 15 years. (Something like a Domesday Book approach where it doesn't matter whether you have ever interacted with the Governing Authority in any way, everything (livestock, animals, dwellings, people, anything that is discrete and touchable...), and everyone just gets physically counted.) This would give a truly accurate raw data picture of our nation.
I don't believe the proposed changes will permit a fully accurate analysis of a society that includes ALL New Zealanders.
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