Inflation response: Orr issues employment warning

Reserve Bank governor Adrian Orr says government spending policies needed to be targeted to those in need and kept in place only for as long as they are needed.

Reserve Bank governor Adrian Orr is repeating the country's inflation rate is too high, but says the economy is relatively well positioned to meet challenges.

He told an industry conference that New Zealand's financial system is able to support the economy with banks' capital and liquidity positions strong, and profitability and asset quality high.

Orr says a recent visit to the International Monetary Fund and World Bank meetings shows challenges to the world economy are large and upon developed economies.

He says the common view and approach of central banks is to raise interest rates to combat inflation by slowing domestic spending.

"This means employment prospects will be increasingly compromised, as people delay their spending and investment decisions.

"Rising nominal interest rates globally are, and will continue to, test the resilience of the financial system and all economic participants."

Orr says other factors thrown up by the battle to contain inflation include the shift of capital to safe assets, a rise in the US dollar, and tension between central bank actions and government spending policies to support at-risk groups.

He says four common solutions are presented at the IMF/World Bank discussions.

"Inflation needs to be contained in a goldilocks manner, where tightening is sufficient to tame inflation expectations, but without sending countries into a deep recession."

Government spending policies need to be targeted to those in need and kept in place only for as long as they are needed, financial systems need to be resilient, and economies need ongoing reforms to improve productivity.

"The four steps to ongoing economic resilience are firmly within the New Zealand way of doing things. We are in relatively good stead," Orr says.

"However, there will be stresses in business and amongst households as interest rates and asset prices adjust. Of critical importance to overall financial stability will be the robustness of the labour market."

He mentions briefly that monetary policy remains "firmly focused on meeting our inflation target".

-RNZ.

3 comments

Orr has failed

Posted on 28-10-2022 08:08 | By jed

He failed to control inflation. Govt printing money scheme has been very wrong. Claiming the rest of the world is just as bad is wrong...Swiss inflation for example, 3%! Much of our inflation is the direct fault of the RB and government.


Orr created it

Posted on 28-10-2022 09:10 | By an_alias

Lets listen to the guy who helped create the problem with low interest and easy money for govt to spend. You are the creator and now the destroyer of our economy with you boss the govt.


Does he inspire confidence?

Posted on 30-10-2022 12:14 | By morepork

There is nothing original or tailored specifically for our conditions in what he says. Implement what the IMF recommend (that can't be wrong...). They are sensible guidelines but I'd expect a Finance Minister to have insight into exactly how OUR Economy has been and will be affected and comment and act accordingly.


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