Saturday, September 11, 2010
Crime theory demolished
Graham Clark & Russell Watkins - Political bloggers
Two experienced defenders of political freedom take on the establishment through the blogospere. ‘Liberty requires eternal vigilance’.


According to the Wall St Journal the theory that crime is caused by "income inequality" and "social injustice" has been "demolished" by continuing falling crime rates coupled with rocketing unemployment.
Over seven million lost jobs later, crime has plummeted to its lowest level since the early 1960s.


The response to the theory is described;
If crime was a rational response to income inequality, the thinking went, government can best fight it through social services and wealth redistribution, not through arrests and incarceration. Even law enforcement officials came to embrace the root causes theory, which let them off the hook for rising lawlessness. Through the late 1980s, the FBI's annual national crime report included the disclaimer that "criminal homicide is largely a societal problem which is beyond the control of the police." Policing, it was understood, can only respond to crime after the fact; preventing it is the domain of government welfare programs.

Of course, it wasn't only the US that went down this path.

The writer concludes that policing and incarceration have kept the trend moving in the right direction and looks specifically at Los Angeles and New York;

At the start of the recession, the two police chiefs who confidently announced that their cities' crime rates would remain recession-proof were Los Angeles Police Chief William Bratton and New York Police Commissioner Ray Kelly. As New York Police Commissioner in the mid-1990s, Mr. Bratton pioneered the intensive use of crime data to determine policing strategies and to hold precinct commanders accountable—a process known as Compstat. Commissioner Kelly has continued Mr. Bratton's revolutionary policies, leading to New York's stunning 16-year 77% crime drop. The two police leaders were true to their word. In 2009, the city of L.A. saw a 17% drop in homicides, an 8% drop in property crimes, and a 10% drop in violent crimes. In New York, homicides fell 19%, to their lowest level since reliable records were first kept in 1963.

The Compstat mentality is the opposite of root causes excuse-making; it holds that policing can and must control crime for the sake of urban economic viability. More and more police chiefs have adopted the Compstat philosophy of crime-fighting and the information-based policing techniques that it spawned. Their success in lowering crime shows that the government can control antisocial behavior and provide public safety through enforcing the rule of law. Moreover, the state has the moral right and obligation to do so, regardless of economic conditions or income inequality.


That may be right. But I think there is more to it. There has been a sea-change in US thinking over the past 30 years. Americans were focusing on welfare and its role in society long before Clinton's federal legislation was enacted. For instance, from the 1970s people receiving social security because they were drug or alcohol addicted had to attend rehab courses, have a benefit payee and there was a 36 month time limit. I am not saying this was particularly successful but use it as an example of their keenness to prevent long term worklessness. More importantly, various states were trying out different approaches to prevent welfare undermining the institution of family, particularly black families, recognising that strong and enduring families are one of the greatest deterrents to crime.

All of this culminated in the famous 1996 Clinton welfare reform act - PRWORA - the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act. It's a mouthful, but when you break it down and think about it, the words embody the opposite of what leads to crime. Irresponsibility and idleness.

The state can and does influence moral thinking. Americans do not wince about using the words "personal responsibility". They use them to name laws.

In NZ too many people do wince. For them it means "individual responsibility", which translates to "individualism", which translates to "selfishness and greed" .

So what do we have as a result? Our crime rate, specifically violent crime, continues to grow. And it would appear we are going to go down the unavoidably hard line of locking up more and more people but without any accompanying move towards instilling in society a different attitude towards responsibility. It has to start with the individual.


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Comment by Jamie S - added on 27 Jan 2010 05:54PM
Compassion and Responsibility
These are great points being raised here. Yes, I also believe it is compassion and responsibility that are the foundational keys to crime free society. I believe that Statutory law is responsible for stripping these two vital components from society. Unfortunately Statutory law has now got carried away with greed for more and more finance, particularly from those who "Have Not" and all that finance is headed towards those who "Have". Its like a bathroom plunger affect and all that gets stirred up is very dirty and muddy sewerage. Common law (apart from the harsh biased judgements that may have been a part of it) did allow room for compassion and responsibility. It is the law society that has enFORCEd statutory law upon the masses and it is questionable as to whether the people of the masses are actually subject to it. It is only bullying that keeps enFORCing the prolific acts, statutes, bills, regulations and rules (that are legal, and not necessarily lawful). People need to know who they are and unite together to stop the bullying and harrassment that leads to crime. This is the best answer I can come up with.
Comment by Russell - added on 19 Jan 2010 10:33PM
Thank you Mr Morepork - this one comes from one of our friends Lindsay Mitchell of Wellington.
Russell
Comment by morepork - added on 18 Jan 2010 12:38PM
At last!
This is one of the best blog posts I have ever read (and I read many). It is refreshing to see some common sense prevailing.

"In NZ too many people do wince. For them it means "individual responsibility", which translates to "individualism", which translates to "selfishness and greed" ."

This is a succinct and accurate statement. For years we have been instilling in our kids that it is wrong to compete, (somebody might not win and could be crushed for life), wrong to be responsible for the condition we are in, when it is obviously the fault of our parents, our partner, our Boss, the local Council, or the Government.

There is nothing wrong with individualism and individual responsibility (quite the contrary; these things are BENEFICIAL...), and agreeing with that doesn't mean we have to approve selfishness and greed.

Personally, I think there are two major requirements to make society better for all of us: Compassion and Responsibility. (Sorry about the capitals, but i feel very strongly on this :-))

It is refreshing to see a couple of Police Chiefs accepting their responsibility and making their communities better. And I , for one, completely endorse the sentiments of the Blog post on how this relates to us, here in NZ.

Let's hope somebody capable of getting some action on it reads this blog.

Excellent post. Keep it up :-).

What will be the Rugby World Cup's biggest impact on NZ?

A tonne of tourists will fall in love with NZ.
It will provide the economic stimulus NZ needs.
NZ's roads will be bruised with shattered beer bottles.
NZ rugby playing numbers will increase.
International media exposure will forever boost tourism.
NZ will not recoup the costs of hosting the event.
It's all a load of hype and it won't make a difference.
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